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ORU Bracketology and rankings for 2023


eagle88

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1 hour ago, ORUTerry said:

NCAA NET Rankings

ORU moves to 54 (from 56) as of Dec 22nd. We are considered a Quad 1 school - at least for the moment.

  • St. Thomas:  144
  • SDSU:           210
  • WIU:              222
  • Denver:         240
  • KC:                255
  • Omaha:         268
  • ND:                280
  • NDSU:           301
  • USD:              321

others:

  • St. Mary's:       16
  • Houston:           2
  • Tulsa:            245
  • Liberty:           75
  • Southern:     233
  • OSU:               45
  • OU:                 46
  • Valpo:           310

 

     

 

Southern University is 233, but Texas Southern is 263.

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25th?!?!?!?......well, Merry Christmas to us!!! :circle-logoi:

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Having never visited the Haslem site before, I found it very interesting.  As we know that the coaching staff is very focused on analytic measurements, they must love this site.  For those just wanting a taste, here's the overall analysis of ORU's team.

ANALYSIS:
When listing some of the better squads you will find in NCAA basketball this year, one can definitely make a case for Oral Roberts. Ranked 25th overall (out of 363) in our most recent ratings, they presently have a record of 10-3. They are also ranked by this site as the best team (out of 10) in the Summit League (average ranking 233.8).

 

Oral Roberts will create problems for opponents with their extremely prolific offense. Scoring roughly 116 points for every 100 possessions vs. AO, the squad is rated #5 in offensive efficiency. Oral Roberts is one of the very best when it comes to maximizing field goal opportunities. The team is ranked eighth in the NCAA in offensive field goal attempt rate with a rating of 90.40 vs. AO. And when they do shoot, they make a fair portion of their shots. Ranked in the top-75 in field goal shooting percentage, the squad converts about 46.5% of their total attempts vs. AO. Oral Roberts also lives and dies by the three-ball and will launch from long-distance early and often. The team ranks 14th in ratio of three-point attempts to total field goal attempts. If you do allow them to shoot from long, they have the ability to punish you for it, too. Ranked in the top-50 in three-point shooting percentage, they make approximately 38.2% of their three-point attempts vs. AO.

 

Though they're not quite as efficient defensively as they are offensively, Oral Roberts still does OK when the opposition has possession of the ball. The team ranks 110th nationally in defensive efficiency, allowing about 97 points every 100 trips upcourt vs. AO. Oral Roberts does a fantastic job to prevent opposing teams from capitalizing on chances from offensive rebounds. The squad allows AO to convert only 3.2% of all second-chance opportunities (ranked 12th in the NCAA), and with a rating of 10.62, they're 25th in potential points allowed off of the offensive glass as well. Oral Roberts also does a pretty solid job providing themselves chances to score quickly off of steals. They're ranked 37th in potential points off of breakaway steals vs. AO with a rating of 15.23.

 

Oral Roberts has been playing better basketball in their most recent outings, as evidenced by the team's #42 ranking in positive momentum. When playing on the road, Oral Roberts performs somewhat worse than they normally do on their home court. The club is nationally ranked 332nd in our site's away-from-home metric.

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Geez.....no wonder nobody wants to play ORU....bring on Baylor!!! 🤩

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21 hours ago, Old Titan said:

 

In digging deeper on ORU, they are predicting that we win the remainder of our regular season games - putting us at 26-3 going into the SL tournament.  If that becomes the case, and we trip during the post season tournament, we could be in for an at-large bid and the SL could be a two-bid conference for once.

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TheEagleman has watched Yale this year.....they are pretty good.....also glad to see we are still ranked ahead of UMASS-Lowell.....😮

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Didn’t Denver just get clobbered by Omaha? These rankings are nice, but hopefully the team stays focused on their next opponent. Remember last week when Iowa lost to a ‘terrible’ Eastern Illinois’ team?

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TheEagleman guesses that the Good Guys are back on campus and preparing for the road trip to Omaha and Denver at the end of the week.....would be very nice to get a couple of road wins early in the season...anybody happy with a split or should be get both???........:omaha:      :Denver:        :shield-logo:

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3 hours ago, theeagleman5 said:

...anybody happy with a split or should be get both???........:omaha:      :Denver:        :shield-logo:

In a normal year, "win at home, split on the road" has been a proven recipe for success in the Summit.  This is not a normal year, in that all nationally recognized analysts (human and metric-based) view the Summit as "ORU and everybody else".  As such, while a split would not be devastating to our league title aspirations, it would be disappointing.  It would be less disappointing if the loss occurred at Denver, as they have proven to be tough to beat on their home court.

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5 hours ago, TrueBlue82 said:

In a normal year, "win at home, split on the road" has been a proven recipe for success in the Summit.  This is not a normal year, in that all nationally recognized analysts (human and metric-based) view the Summit as "ORU and everybody else".  As such, while a split would not be devastating to our league title aspirations, it would be disappointing.  It would be less disappointing if the loss occurred at Denver, as they have proven to be tough to beat on their home court.

For the first time that I can ever recall, ORU should be a favorite in every conference game they play this season, home or away.

Since all these opponents are Quad 4 types, that would make ANY loss a bad loss.  Just gonna have to limit the damage to 2-3 games for the year and the rest should take care of itself.

NOTE:  A reminder that the new bracket format in Sioux Falls makes finishing 1st or 2nd in the regular season far less important than previous years. 

With everyone participating (including ineligible St. Thomas), Day 1 features 7-v-10 and 8-v-9 games, followed on Day 2 by all four top seeds playing the No. 5 and 6 seeds and the winners of the first-round games.  Day 3 is the semi's, Day 4 the finals. 

So, no bye or days-off for finishing in the top two spots the regular season; the championship game will feature two teams on at least their third straight night of play, possibly their fourth.

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43 minutes ago, Old Titan said:

NOTE:  A reminder that the new bracket format in Sioux Falls makes finishing 1st or 2nd in the regular season far less important than previous years. 

Actually, I was on the league website this weekend, and found that the format HASN'T changed from previous years, other than adding the 7 vs. 10 and 8 vs. 9 games.  The tournament now extends five days, in order to add the "first four" games.  The #1 and #2 seeds will play their initial games a day earlier than #3 and #4, and if victorious in the quarter-finals, #1 and #2 will receive a day off before the semi-finals while their opponents will not.

 23_MBB_Bracket.pdf

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I am sympathetic to the Tommies, but why in the world would the league allow them to participate in the conference tournament?

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2 hours ago, TrueBlue82 said:

Actually, I was on the league website this weekend, and found that the format HASN'T changed from previous years, other than adding the 7 vs. 10 and 8 vs. 9 games.  The tournament now extends five days, in order to add the "first four" games.  The #1 and #2 seeds will play their initial games a day earlier than #3 and #4, and if victorious in the quarter-finals, #1 and #2 will receive a day off before the semi-finals while their opponents will not.

  23_MBB_Bracket.pdf 354.59 kB · 4 downloads

I stared at length at that same bracket and didn't catch that the Quarterfinals were not all on the same day:

Summit League bracket.jpeg

 

Please disregard my previous post:  No. 1 and 2 Seeds ARE still important!

And....

200.gif

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