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KenPom.com Summit Projection


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after 10,000 simulations, KenPoms's computer says ORU wins the summit 51% of the time...

2012 Conference previews, part 4

12.29.11

The is the penultimate look at the 32 Monte Carlo simulations performed on each Division I conference regular season race. This will leave us with the six remaining conferences where the favorite has less than a 50/50 chance of winning its league. For those needing further explanation of what they are about to read, please consult Monday’s post, then follow up with Tuesday’s and Wednesday’s action. Please note, and I will remind you repeatedly below, that the following numbers were based on calculations that didn’t include last night’s games.

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10. Summit (Oral Roberts, 51%)

All three of the favorites here won in conference play last night, the Dakota brethren by a combined 63 points. So game on. These calculations do not include those results so it’s worth noting that North Dakota State’s win was over previously 2-0 Oakland.

Oral Roberts........5078

South Dakota St...3150

North Dakota St....1321

Oakland................431

IUPUI.....................11

Western Illinois......8

UMKC....................1

Southern Utah........0

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The conference race will look a lot clearer in about 10 days. Even then, there will still be a lot of games to be played and situations/injuries can play a big part in how the conference ends up.

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