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Re: Michele Bachmann: 'Woman on a mission'


ORUTerry

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Nothing of an accurate poll since the crowd involved is definitely younger, but right now Facebook has her down 67.38% to 22.55% with Democrat Patty Wetterling in the lead.

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Tell me this, adder - does any Facebook poll have any Republican candidate leading?  I doubt it. 

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Actual polls show Bachmann leading, although Wetterling may be closing:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... 6-122.html

Wetterling was one of the first candidates in the country to try to capitalized on the Mark Foley situation, running adds calling for the immediate expulsion of anyone who has tried to cover up his "actions" in the past.  Even the Star-Tribune thought this was a little much:

http://www.startribune.com/587/story/724858.html

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Out here in Cali it has Arnold Schwarzenegger leading Phil Angelides for governor 63.76% to 30.51%, though real polls suggest that it's much closer.

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Bachmann ® leads Wetterling by 3 in new Survey USA poll of MN-06 (47-44)

DFL Wetterling Gaining On Bachmann in MN6:

In an election in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District today, 10/9/05, Republican Michele Bachmann leads DFL Candidate Patty Wetterling, 47% to 44%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV Minneapolis.

Since an identical SurveyUSA KSTP-TV poll released 9/19/06, Bachmann has lost 3 points and Wetterling has gained 3 points. Bachmann had led by 9, now leads by 3.

There is day-to-day movement within this survey that may or may not be significant. SurveyUSA has broken out separately, as a crosstab, in the tabular display, the results from 10/6, 10/7 and 10/8.

Separately, SurveyUSA includes a "Timeline" box. Bachmann today gets 88% of Republican votes. Wetterling gets 83% of Democrat votes. Independents split.

Wetterling leads by 10 points among voters age 50 to 64, and by 7 points among voters age 65+. 3 weeks ago these age groups were split evenly. Bachmann leads among voters under age 50.

Wetterling leads by 10 points among voters with household income under $40K. 3 weeks ago, this group supported Bachmann by 7 points, a 17-point swing.

Bachmann leads by 16 points among men. Wetterling leads by 9 points among women.

Bachmann leads by 79 points among conservatives. Wetterling leads by 71 points among liberals and by 24 points among moderates.

Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance, 89% choose Bachmann. Of those who disapprove of Bush's job performance, 76% choose Wetterling. President Bush's job approval among likely voters in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District is 42%.

Incumbent 3-term Republican Congressman Mark Kennedy is running for the U.S. Senate this year. The House seat is open. Wetterling lost to Kennedy by 8 points in 2004. The election is on 11/7/06.

669 Likely Voters, MOE +/- 3.9%

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They are weird, but Reagan lost Minnesota (by only 5,000 votes if my memory serves me right) because Walter Mondale (his opponent) was a former senator from that state.

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A poll posted today shows Wetterling now leading by 8% - 40% Bachmann, 48% Wetterling. 

But in some of the other MN House races Republican candidates are leading.  Kind of a mixed bag up there.

I'd sure hoped that Bachmann would pull this one out, but right now the polls seem to indicate she's going the wrong way.

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Pastor endorses Bachmann; IRS gets complaint

Pamela Miller, Star Tribune

Last update: October 18, 2006 ? 10:10 AM

Among other things in the article was the following paragraph:

"In her talks, Bachmann said that she and her husband fasted and prayed for three days about whether to run and "that on the afternoon of day two, [God] made that calling sure."Who in their right mind would spend two years to run for a job that lasts two years?" she said. "You'd have to be absolutely a fool to do that. You are now looking at a fool for Christ."

Read the entire article here.

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Up-to-the-minute coverage of the Minnesota Sixth District race between Michele Bachmann and Patty Wetterling can be found on Real Clear Politics, right here.

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Now we're talking!  Poll out today has Bachmann up by 6, 49-43.  Some of the "October Surprise" tactics may be backfiring!

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