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ORUJason

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ORU is not yet in the Top 25 or Top 30 rankings of the various college baseball polls.  However... 

 

ORU is listed in "other's receiving votes" on the USA Today Poll and if extended they would be in 36th place.

 

ORU is listed in "other's receiving votes" on the NCBWA Poll, which is listed alphabetically so the poll cannot be extended.

 

ORU is listed in "other teams considered" as one of only 7 other teams considered on the D1baseball.com Poll.

 

As mentioned on another post yesterday, ORU is currently 32nd in the RPI according to Boyd's World.

 

All of these rankings can be seen from a drop-down list on the ncaa site: http://www.ncaa.com/rankings/baseball/d1/rpi

 

You would have to go to the D1Baseball.com site to see their list of "other teams considered": http://www.d1baseball.com/rankings/d1baseball-top-25-rankings-may-11/

 

ORU is 2nd in the nation in batting average at .324, 37th in ERA at 3.34, 10th in scoring with 7.5 runs per game, and 15th in the nation in win-loss percentage at .729.  http://www.ncaa.com/stats/baseball/d1/current/team/319

 

All of these rankings can be helpful for ORU to attain a possible 2-seed if they win out or nearly win out, or to possibly attain an at-large bid (as a 3-seed) if they happen to falter in the Summit League tournament.

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ORU is now 37th in RPI and the Warren Nolan Projection has them as a 3-seed which would fit with the #37 RPI. Nolan also lists all of the conference leaders and their RPIs. There are currently 19 teams with worse RPIs than ORU. The best RPI out of the bottom 16 teams is around 70. This means that ORU is a lock to avoid the 4-seed.
 

http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2015/nitty-clear

 

If they can win out then they will be at 41-14. That would probably give them an RPI about 30 or possibly upper 20s. We would be right on the edge of a 2-seed. I think 1 more loss would probably leave us as a 3-seed.

If we were to come into the Summit League tournament at 38-14 but not win the tournament and end up at about 40-16 or so, then it would be interesting. I think at 40-16 we would still get in, but it is certainly not a given. Hopefully we will earn the automatic bid and keep it very uninteresting.

 

They also list the Summit League as having the 21st best RPI out of 32 conferences.  While that is not great, it is probably better than it used to be when we had Chicago State, Southern Utah, Oakland, and Valparaiso.  The Southland is 16th and the Missouri Valley is 6th.

 

http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2015/conferencerpi

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Another interesting analysis of ORU's success against teams of varying RPI is listed on Warren Nolan's site.

 

ORU:

vs. Top 50 RPI  2-4

vs. 51-100 RPI  5-2

vs. 101-200 RPI  7-6

vs. 200+ RPI  21-2

 

http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2015/nitty-team

 

If we had gone 2-2 vs. Dallas Baptist instead of 0-4 (winning the games we lost 9-8 and 4-2) and everything else had stayed the same, the perception of ORU would be better than it is now.  That would have really improved our at-large bid chances.

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Good stuff, Jason....you are right on with the analysis....still, TheEagleman would be surprised if ORU is higher than a 3 seed.....and we are probably on the bubble for an at large bid....we must sweep this weekend to stay in contention for that.....a couple of losses in the Summit Tournament wouldn't be very helpful....neither was the loss at Wichita the other night.....ORU really needs to win this tournament....a 41-15ish record going to the NCAA Tournament would be like old times..... :nerd:

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Some of ORU's previous opponents in the Top 100 could have helped to pad our resume by sneaking into that Top 50 category, but all have imploded down the stretch: 

  • OU (RPI- 69) has lost 6 of their last 9 games, including a home series against Sam Houston.
  • Memphis (RPI- 64) has lost 4 of 7, including a home conference series against 15-36 Cincinnati.
  • Texas Tech (RPI-68) lost 5 in a row, including 2 midweek games against Grand Canyon U(!!) before winning a series against Texas last weekend.

I would imagine that we are a 3-seed even if we win out now. College baseball seems to follow RPI more strictly when awarding at-large bids to teams from smaller conferences, but at-large consideration would mean two more horrendous losses for ORU.

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This baseball bracketology article has ORU as a #2 Seed in Baton Rouge, with LSU #1, North Carolina #3, and St. John's #4:

 

PerfectGame.org Postseason Field of 64

 

If you strictly follow an S-curve progression on this mock bracket, ORU would technically be the weakest of the #2's nationally, since LSU is the projected overall #1 seed nationally.  But, geography figures in quite a bit with these decisions, from both a school and conference standpoint.  Sometimes, the committee uses approximate position of teams to fill out the regionals.

 

Frankly, I wouldn't be surprised to see ORU (as the Summit League champion) get sent north or west, as opposed to south, when it's all said and done...

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IF (i take nothing for granted after the last 2 seasons) ORU wins the Summit Tourney, I think they will end up as a 3 seed at DBU or OkState.

 

personally, i would like to see ORU get another crack at DBU after that 4 game sweep at JLJ earlier in the season.

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GEEZ....that projected bracket above would be a killer....no way ORU would advance against those 3 teams......even St. John's is pretty good..... :|

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We also owe DBU payback for the 2011 and 2012 regionals  :puke:

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With all of the potential host sites in states neighboring Oklahoma, I'd be very surprised if we are placed in a regional that is not close-by.

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With all of the potential host sites in states neighboring Oklahoma, I'd be very surprised if we are placed in a regional that is not close-by.

 

There's an awful lot of good teams in this area.  Someone has to help fill out the brackets in other parts of the country; makes sense for ORU to go north or west since the Summit League footprint lies there.  SDSU got sent to Corvallis, OR last year; and (strangely) Raleigh, NC the year before that.

 

In ORU's last year in the Summit in 2013, the Golden Eagles got to stay close to home (relatively speaking) in Waco.  Perhaps the committee will revert to form, and send ORU some place close, such as Missouri State or even OSU.

 

Anywhere but Dallas Baptist, if you ask me.  The Patriots have had ORU's number for years, in both the regular and post season.

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Beating Western Illinois twice has moved our RPI from 37 to 41.  Ouch.

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There have been many upsets in the college baseball tournaments up to this point.

 

ORU's RPI is currently 39 according to Warrennolan.com.

 

The Southland conference tournament is a perfect example of the competitiveness of that league.  The #1-4 seeds have each been eliminated, so the #5-8 seeds are now fighting for the automatic bid.

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Pairings will be announced on ESPNU on Memorial Day at 11 am.

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Texas winning the Big 12 just made the selection show that much more interesting.

Will they be a 4-seed somewhere?? (College Station)

There will be two regionals in the Dallas metroplex, possibly one in Stillwater and one in Springfield, Mo.

No matter where we go its great to be back playing on regional weekend for the 25th time in school history. Seriously one of the most fun, and underrated, sports weekends of the year.

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A few projections I found:

 

Baseball America (May 19)

Stillwater, Okla.

1. Oklahoma State^

2. California

3. Oral Roberts*

4. Stony Brook*

 

College Sports Madness (May 18)

Fort Worth

TCU

Arkansas

ORU

Wright State

 

d1baseball.com (May 13)

Stillwater

Ok State

California

ORU

Wright St

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