With South Dakota's upset of NDSU Thursday night, neither spot in the Friday 8-vs-9 play-in game is certain yet.
An ORU win over UMKC Sunday could STILL doom the Golden Eagles (who would finish at 6-10 in conference play) to that 8/9 play-in game, if Denver (in 7th Place currently at 6-9) wins at St. Thomas on Saturday, locking up 7th Place.
Any other outcome for South Dakota and Denver on Saturday, coupled with a Golden Eagles win Sunday, puts ORU at worst in a 3-way tie for 7th Place, with all the tie-breaker advantages. A 7-Seed in Sioux Falls means not playing until Saturday, where an upset victory in the 2-vs-7 game earns a day off on Sunday before the Monday semi's.
A loss by ORU to UMKC on Sunday means finishing no better than 8th Place and a berth in that dreaded 8-vs-9 game on Friday, where a subsequent win would earn a showdown with No. 1 South Dakota State on Saturday.
If ORU does lose Sunday to UMKC, they need to approach Sioux Falls as two separate, 2-game tourneys: win the first 2-game tournament Friday and Saturday, earn a day off, then it's just another 2-day tournament to win a date in the NCAA First Four in Dayton.
Easy, right?